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Qual 302018 Orlando Regional
Red263
7193101.6
744151.1
3556136.9
Blue178
4562104.4
2556129.6
6184107.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112400100200400500263178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#17
151.19.0
121.8→130.8
Auto21.5
Teleop114.6
End14.5
red by 21.4
2556
#39
129.66.1
105.1→111.2
Auto13.9
Teleop101.2
End14.7
Second
3556
#18
136.95.9
116.6→122.5
Auto18.3
Teleop105.5
End11.3
red by 29.3
6184
#53
107.57.2
92.7→99.8
Auto13.6
Teleop82.7
End9.6
Third
7193
#33
101.64.9
87.1→92.0
Auto15.7
Teleop73.8
End16.8
blue by 2.9
4562
#36
104.410.0
86.5→96.5
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed