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Red242
3627107.0
4622103.5
6473102.8
Blue218
6527133.0
674398.9
10894.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253249150200300350400242218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3627
#37
107.03.7
100.6104.3
Auto14.9
Teleop85.9
End2.2
blue by 26.1
6527
#23
133.04.3
111.9116.2
Auto14.5
Teleop103.6
End15.6
Second
4622
#49
103.53.3
97.7101.0
Auto11.8
Teleop86.7
End6.9
red by 4.6
6743
#41
98.95.3
89.494.7
Auto13.7
Teleop79.4
End5.8
Third
6473
#38
102.84.9
95.1100.1
Auto12.7
Teleop88.6
End-0.6
red by 8.7
108
#56
94.11.6
106.4104.9
Auto12.8
Teleop80.5
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed