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Qual 412018 Orlando Regional
Red152
572294.5
2797123.3
3242137.7
Blue416
2556129.6
801126.2
4471113.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2772580100200400500600700152416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3242
#9
137.79.2
111.8→121.0
Auto15.9
Teleop104.7
End20.3
red by 8.1
2556
#39
129.62.9
111.2→114.1
Auto13.9
Teleop101.2
End14.7
Second
2797
#20
123.33.7
106.9→110.7
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End22.8
blue by 2.9
801
#12
126.24.9
107.8→112.7
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End12.3
Third
5722
#62
94.54.7
93.3→98.0
Auto14.0
Teleop79.4
End2.2
blue by 19.1
4471
#42
113.71.7
105.6→107.3
Auto13.1
Teleop93.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed