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Red345
4481147.8
233142.7
5412100.7
Blue126
4064112.5
5283104.5
4065113.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332340100200300400500600345126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#26
147.81.3
141.3142.7
Auto21.5
Teleop114.0
End12.8
red by 34.1
4065
#61
113.716.2
72.989.1
Auto13.8
Teleop88.7
End9.8
Second
233
#15
142.712.8
104.6117.4
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
red by 30.2
4064
#30
112.516.8
67.584.3
Auto12.8
Teleop86.7
End7.3
Third
5412
#57
100.717.6
60.578.1
Auto14.9
Teleop77.9
End6.6
blue by 3.7
5283
#60
104.517.2
63.881.0
Auto14.4
Teleop82.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed