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Red208
5145138.4
233142.7
555786.2
Blue251
79132.2
6473102.8
6184107.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308240100200400500208251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#15
142.72.7
141.8144.5
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
red by 10.6
79
#28
132.22.1
127.5129.6
Auto14.3
Teleop95.3
End20.6
Second
5145
#14
138.45.0
123.3128.4
Auto14.7
Teleop108.6
End15.1
red by 30.8
6184
#53
107.50.0
107.5107.5
Auto13.6
Teleop82.7
End9.6
Third
5557
#63
86.21.6
90.288.6
Auto13.3
Teleop70.1
End3.6
blue by 16.6
6473
#38
102.80.8
103.5104.2
Auto12.7
Teleop88.6
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed