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Red475
179178.6
3653135.5
2797123.3
Blue117
5196105.3
4065113.7
6722102.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462080100300400500475117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
178.66.3
149.0155.3
Auto18.7
Teleop120.4
End45.9
red by 64.9
4065
#61
113.70.2
115.7115.9
Auto13.8
Teleop88.7
End9.8
Second
3653
#43
135.50.7
120.2120.9
Auto16.7
Teleop104.7
End18.7
red by 30.1
5196
#31
105.30.3
106.3106.6
Auto13.9
Teleop84.3
End8.1
Third
2797
#20
123.32.8
111.0113.8
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End22.8
red by 21.1
6722
#58
102.20.5
105.1104.6
Auto11.5
Teleop85.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed