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Qual 682018 Orlando Regional
Red390
5842143.9
3556136.9
402498.1
Blue168
6473102.8
2916103.0
1065156.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265277200250300350390168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5842
#21
143.93.3
131.6→134.9
Auto16.5
Teleop109.8
End15.6
blue by 12.2
1065
#3
156.15.7
144.4→150.1
Auto20.3
Teleop117.8
End20.3
Second
3556
#18
136.91.6
132.7→134.3
Auto18.3
Teleop105.5
End11.3
red by 33.9
2916
#50
103.00.1
104.3→104.4
Auto14.5
Teleop85.0
End-0.3
Third
4024
#40
98.10.8
97.2→96.4
Auto12.4
Teleop74.7
End11.3
blue by 4.7
6473
#38
102.80.1
104.2→104.3
Auto12.7
Teleop88.6
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed