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Qual 712018 Orlando Regional
Red235
179178.6
3242137.7
4118119.2
Blue294
4622103.5
1421142.0
386158.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338277100200400500600235294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
178.68.3
155.3→163.6
Auto18.7
Teleop120.4
End45.9
red by 20.5
386
#8
158.15.7
146.1→151.8
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End27.2
Second
3242
#9
137.75.1
128.1→133.2
Auto15.9
Teleop104.7
End20.3
blue by 4.2
1421
#22
142.01.4
137.0→138.4
Auto16.3
Teleop106.2
End19.0
Third
4118
#32
119.20.7
118.5→119.2
Auto14.9
Teleop97.9
End6.4
red by 15.6
4622
#49
103.51.7
101.8→103.6
Auto11.8
Teleop86.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed