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Red160
7194103.6
2556129.6
6722102.2
Blue299
945122.6
4592139.8
4064112.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2093350100300400500160299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#39
129.63.1
124.8127.9
Auto13.9
Teleop101.2
End14.7
blue by 10.2
139.85.9
130.7136.6
Auto17.8
Teleop105.1
End15.1
Second
7194
#59
103.61.8
100.8102.6
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End9.9
blue by 18.9
945
#52
122.64.0
116.0119.9
Auto15.7
Teleop94.5
End13.0
Third
6722
#58
102.21.4
104.6103.2
Auto11.5
Teleop85.9
End5.3
blue by 10.4
4064
#30
112.50.2
113.9113.7
Auto12.8
Teleop86.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed