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Qual 772018 Orlando Regional
Red454
179178.6
1251120.1
233142.7
Blue179
744151.1
10894.1
4769122.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672330100200300400500600454179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
178.64.6
163.6→168.2
Auto18.7
Teleop120.4
End45.9
red by 27.5
744
#17
151.12.0
149.0→151.1
Auto21.5
Teleop114.6
End14.5
Second
233
#15
142.72.9
145.3→142.4
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
red by 20.7
4769
#24
122.02.3
119.7→122.0
Auto15.0
Teleop92.4
End15.3
Third
1251
#29
120.11.7
121.8→120.1
Auto15.5
Teleop90.9
End15.1
red by 26.0
108
#56
94.12.6
99.8→97.2
Auto12.8
Teleop80.5
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed