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Red369
456157.6
801126.2
1523138.4
Blue206
5412100.7
6473102.8
21142.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742020100300500600369206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#13
157.62.7
152.6155.4
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End20.9
red by 15.2
21
#4
142.43.8
137.0140.8
Auto18.8
Teleop102.5
End22.2
Second
1523
#10
138.42.8
134.8137.5
Auto20.6
Teleop102.3
End18.2
red by 35.6
6473
#38
102.81.5
104.3102.8
Auto12.7
Teleop88.6
End-0.6
Third
801
#12
126.22.2
122.9125.1
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End12.3
red by 25.4
5412
#57
100.71.7
103.1101.4
Auto14.9
Teleop77.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed