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Red182
3627107.0
180157.6
4064112.5
Blue196
86145.1
4562104.4
4592139.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261297100200400500182196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#16
157.65.2
147.5152.7
Auto18.1
Teleop124.3
End13.7
red by 12.5
86
#6
145.13.5
141.4144.9
Auto22.2
Teleop108.0
End13.6
Second
4064
#30
112.51.2
113.7112.5
Auto12.8
Teleop86.7
End7.3
blue by 27.2
139.82.7
136.6139.3
Auto17.8
Teleop105.1
End15.1
Third
3627
#37
107.00.7
106.2107.0
Auto14.9
Teleop85.9
End2.2
red by 2.5
4562
#36
104.42.5
106.9104.4
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed