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Semifinal 1-12018 Orlando Regional
Red242
180157.6
59162.0
5145138.4
Blue293
5842143.9
1902141.3
1421142.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353274100200300400500600242293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#1
162.01.7
155.2→156.8
Auto19.3
Teleop121.0
End23.0
red by 18.1
5842
#21
143.90.9
141.5→142.5
Auto16.5
Teleop109.8
End15.6
Second
180
#16
157.60.8
154.2→155.0
Auto18.1
Teleop124.3
End13.7
red by 15.6
1421
#22
142.00.4
141.0→141.4
Auto16.3
Teleop106.2
End19.0
Third
5145
#14
138.40.8
135.1→135.9
Auto14.7
Teleop108.6
End15.1
blue by 2.9
1902
#5
141.31.0
138.7→139.7
Auto25.7
Teleop101.2
End14.9