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Red398
180168.5
179202.8
1369132.8
Blue256
2383166.6
1744153.9
3164136.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347293100200400500600398256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
202.80.2
203.2203.0
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End42.4
red by 36.2
2383
#20
166.60.1
166.4166.5
Auto20.7
Teleop134.3
End10.0
Second
180
#17
168.50.2
168.2168.3
Auto20.0
Teleop134.2
End15.5
red by 14.7
153.90.4
153.1153.5
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
Third
1369
#28
132.80.0
132.8132.7
Auto18.4
Teleop103.2
End10.5
blue by 3.2
3164
#15
136.00.4
135.3135.7
Auto16.7
Teleop99.8
End21.1