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Red198
1876174.2
4533183.0
801139.3
Blue388
2383166.6
1744153.9
3164136.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355329100200300400500600700198388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.00.2
182.5182.7
Auto27.0
Teleop131.8
End23.4
red by 16.4
2383
#20
166.60.1
165.8165.9
Auto20.7
Teleop134.3
End10.0
Second
1876
#10
174.20.3
173.4173.7
Auto19.1
Teleop125.8
End31.4
red by 20.3
153.90.5
150.9151.4
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
Third
801
#13
139.30.5
138.0138.5
Auto17.7
Teleop104.3
End20.6
red by 3.3
3164
#15
136.00.4
133.3133.7
Auto16.7
Teleop99.8
End21.1