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Red313
3653143.0
5410130.7
5872119.9
Blue445
456292.8
86147.2
5472190.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643630100200300400500600700313445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3653
#36
143.01.1
139.5140.6
Auto16.3
Teleop109.7
End17.2
blue by 47.6
190.71.2
180.4181.6
Auto23.3
Teleop148.5
End18.9
Second
5410
#24
130.71.2
122.1123.3
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End19.1
blue by 16.5
86
#32
147.20.6
144.4145.0
Auto23.3
Teleop105.4
End19.5
Third
5872
#27
119.94.7
107.0111.7
Auto15.0
Teleop90.3
End17.1
red by 27.2
4562
#53
92.82.0
98.896.8
Auto17.1
Teleop72.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed