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Red250
1251134.9
7193123.7
1477170.1
Blue409
1523150.6
179202.8
4533183.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270442100200400500600700800250409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#34
170.10.6
176.3176.9
Auto19.7
Teleop125.9
End23.8
blue by 32.7
179
#1
202.82.9
192.2195.1
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End42.4
Second
134.90.2
124.6124.4
Auto15.1
Teleop102.0
End20.1
blue by 48.1
183.02.7
169.0171.6
Auto27.0
Teleop131.8
End23.4
Third
123.73.8
109.8113.5
Auto17.7
Teleop86.0
End18.5
blue by 26.8
1523
#23
150.61.0
142.5143.5
Auto19.2
Teleop111.9
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsEarned