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Red196
180168.5
5949105.0
4118110.4
Blue356
7152103.9
1065171.1
1369132.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296308100200400500600196356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#17
168.50.4
163.7164.1
Auto20.0
Teleop134.2
End15.5
blue by 2.5
1065
#16
171.10.6
164.7165.3
Auto19.2
Teleop132.0
End18.5
Second
4118
#46
110.40.9
115.0114.1
Auto15.3
Teleop86.6
End12.2
blue by 22.3
1369
#28
132.80.2
133.0132.9
Auto18.4
Teleop103.2
End10.5
Third
5949
#41
105.07.8
96.1103.8
Auto14.6
Teleop75.5
End17.8
red by 1.1
7152
#52
103.92.2
97.199.3
Auto11.5
Teleop82.2
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed