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Red417
6722121.2
1744153.9
5842163.2
Blue176
21147.6
7152103.9
5410130.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232590100200400500417176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5842
#14
163.20.4
157.6158.1
Auto19.3
Teleop125.4
End19.4
red by 15.7
21
#49
147.61.4
142.4143.9
Auto19.3
Teleop104.5
End24.5
Second
153.93.7
123.0126.7
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
red by 23.2
5410
#24
130.71.0
119.5120.6
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End19.1
Third
6722
#29
121.21.1
102.2101.1
Auto13.9
Teleop95.9
End15.2
red by 17.3
7152
#52
103.938.1
115.977.7
Auto11.5
Teleop82.2
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed