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Red306
1251134.9
3653143.0
108128.3
Blue287
3410134.2
3932144.5
6225134.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291324100200400500600306287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3653
#36
143.00.8
140.6141.4
Auto16.3
Teleop109.7
End17.2
blue by 1.5
3932
#21
144.50.5
139.6140.1
Auto17.5
Teleop110.6
End17.4
Second
134.90.4
124.4124.0
Auto15.1
Teleop102.0
End20.1
Level
6225
#44
134.95.9
121.3127.3
Auto18.0
Teleop101.9
End14.7
Third
108
#19
128.32.6
113.1115.7
Auto17.8
Teleop105.6
End6.1
blue by 5.9
134.22.2
116.7118.9
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed