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Red222
7194106.3
5872119.9
7152103.9
Blue421
6686113.8
386175.1
1065171.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1674320100200300400500600700222421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5872
#27
119.90.7
115.0115.7
Auto15.0
Teleop90.3
End17.1
blue by 55.1
386
#11
175.10.6
170.9171.5
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End29.0
Second
7194
#50
106.30.1
107.4107.3
Auto16.4
Teleop78.3
End9.5
blue by 64.8
1065
#16
171.10.1
166.2166.3
Auto19.2
Teleop132.0
End18.5
Third
7152
#52
103.90.8
101.6100.7
Auto11.5
Teleop82.2
End12.7
blue by 9.9
6686
#30
113.84.0
108.7112.6
Auto16.5
Teleop84.4
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed