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Red239
6468117.6
528399.1
21147.6
Blue285
6001129.1
7193123.7
3164136.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266328100200300400500239285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#49
147.60.5
145.3145.8
Auto19.3
Teleop104.5
End24.5
red by 11.6
3164
#15
136.00.7
127.2128.0
Auto16.7
Teleop99.8
End21.1
Second
6468
#48
117.63.1
107.9111.0
Auto15.6
Teleop94.6
End10.3
blue by 11.4
6001
#45
129.15.9
116.7122.6
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End16.9
Third
5283
#47
99.11.4
103.8102.4
Auto14.6
Teleop76.8
End7.8
blue by 24.6
123.72.2
116.0118.2
Auto17.7
Teleop86.0
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed