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Red221
3164136.0
2152133.6
5329101.3
Blue294
5872119.9
1369132.8
7193123.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283311100200400500600221294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3164
#15
136.00.8
128.0128.8
Auto16.7
Teleop99.8
End21.1
red by 3.2
1369
#28
132.80.0
133.1133.0
Auto18.4
Teleop103.2
End10.5
Second
2152
#31
133.60.5
133.1132.6
Auto21.8
Teleop103.0
End8.9
red by 9.9
123.72.0
118.2120.1
Auto17.7
Teleop86.0
End18.5
Third
5329
#51
101.31.6
97.999.5
Auto13.4
Teleop81.4
End8.7
blue by 18.6
5872
#27
119.91.8
115.7117.5
Auto15.0
Teleop90.3
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed