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Red398
59174.1
6686113.8
86147.2
Blue355
2797136.9
6685115.6
179202.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329360200300400500600398355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#9
174.10.6
173.2173.7
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End17.9
blue by 28.7
179
#1
202.80.9
201.8202.7
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End42.4
Second
86
#32
147.20.0
146.8146.8
Auto23.3
Teleop105.4
End19.5
red by 10.3
2797
#37
136.90.3
136.0136.3
Auto15.6
Teleop100.4
End21.8
Third
6686
#30
113.80.5
116.0115.5
Auto16.5
Teleop84.4
End14.1
blue by 1.8
6685
#35
115.60.9
116.5117.3
Auto17.0
Teleop85.2
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed51%Face the Boss oddsMissed