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Red441
5410130.7
528399.1
4533183.0
Blue264
801139.3
7107109.8
5773109.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321295150200250350400450441264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.01.7
177.8179.5
Auto27.0
Teleop131.8
End23.4
red by 43.7
801
#13
139.31.9
133.9135.8
Auto17.7
Teleop104.3
End20.6
Second
5410
#24
130.71.0
127.1128.1
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End19.1
red by 20.9
7107
#40
109.82.2
106.2108.4
Auto17.5
Teleop88.1
End-0.7
Third
5283
#47
99.11.0
101.3100.3
Auto14.6
Teleop76.8
End7.8
blue by 10.0
5773
#39
109.11.3
106.0107.3
Auto16.2
Teleop84.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed