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Red163
4592134.4
5949105.0
560595.1
Blue400
3242155.7
5329101.3
6225134.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273460100300400500600163400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4592
#38
134.40.6
135.8135.1
Auto18.9
Teleop100.5
End15.3
blue by 21.3
3242
#12
155.70.0
155.3155.3
Auto17.9
Teleop117.7
End19.5
Second
5949
#41
105.03.3
110.9107.5
Auto14.6
Teleop75.5
End17.8
blue by 29.9
6225
#44
134.90.3
134.7134.4
Auto18.0
Teleop101.9
End14.7
Third
5605
#54
95.10.4
94.895.2
Auto14.4
Teleop72.4
End8.6
blue by 6.2
5329
#51
101.30.3
100.2100.5
Auto13.4
Teleop81.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed