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Red318
2383166.6
7216123.0
1902159.6
Blue360
528399.1
5842163.2
386175.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327288100200400500318360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#20
166.60.3
165.5165.8
Auto20.7
Teleop134.3
End10.0
blue by 8.5
386
#11
175.10.6
173.9174.5
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End29.0
Second
1902
#18
159.60.5
158.9159.4
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
blue by 3.6
5842
#14
163.21.1
164.3163.2
Auto19.3
Teleop125.4
End19.4
Third
7216
#26
123.02.2
125.2123.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.8
End7.0
red by 23.9
5283
#47
99.10.7
99.999.1
Auto14.6
Teleop76.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed