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Red389
3410134.2
180168.5
1251134.9
Blue294
5410130.7
5472190.7
3164136.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34331402004006008001,000389294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#17
168.50.3
166.7167.0
Auto20.0
Teleop134.2
End15.5
blue by 22.1
190.70.4
189.5189.9
Auto23.3
Teleop148.5
End18.9
Second
134.92.2
130.2132.4
Auto15.1
Teleop102.0
End20.1
blue by 1.0
3164
#15
136.01.7
131.6133.3
Auto16.7
Teleop99.8
End21.1
Third
134.22.6
129.2131.8
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End15.2
red by 3.5
5410
#24
130.71.3
129.4130.7
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed