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Red454
4776174.9
3875143.9
3536188.0
Blue50
725496.8
2054169.5
494170.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369328010020030040050060045450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.00.2
181.4181.6
Auto23.0
Teleop137.5
End26.8
red by 17.2
494
#8
170.82.7
187.9185.2
Auto17.5
Teleop138.8
End16.9
Second
174.90.0
177.9177.9
Auto20.3
Teleop132.3
End23.4
red by 5.4
2054
#13
169.50.2
193.5193.3
Auto21.3
Teleop122.5
End21.1
Third
3875
#18
143.90.4
151.7152.1
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
red by 47.2
7254
#19
96.80.2
110.0109.8
Auto16.9
Teleop68.2
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsMissed55%Face the Boss oddsMissed