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Red180
4956155.8
2054169.5
5260126.5
Blue411
5448104.1
9999119.2
3536188.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35928202006008001,0001,200180411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#13
169.52.0
171.5169.5
Auto21.3
Teleop122.5
End21.1
blue by 18.5
188.00.7
185.7186.4
Auto23.0
Teleop137.5
End26.8
Second
4956
#11
155.80.5
155.3155.8
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End11.0
red by 36.6
119.24.4
111.9116.3
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
Third
5260
#10
126.50.5
127.6128.0
Auto14.1
Teleop96.5
End14.5
red by 22.5
5448
#12
104.10.9
104.8104.0
Auto15.0
Teleop73.8
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned