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Qual 32018 FSU Roboday
Red192
5260126.5
5926108.6
5256121.2
Blue388
5084141.4
7056150.3
9999119.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713220200400600800192388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#10
126.51.0
141.1→140.1
Auto14.1
Teleop96.5
End14.5
blue by 23.7
7056
#7
150.31.4
145.9→144.5
Auto18.8
Teleop104.4
End26.8
Second
5256
#17
121.20.2
122.0→122.2
Auto15.5
Teleop87.5
End14.4
blue by 20.2
5084
#9
141.41.3
146.4→145.1
Auto16.4
Teleop105.4
End18.5
Third
5926
#14
108.60.2
100.7→100.4
Auto15.3
Teleop81.0
End13.5
blue by 10.5
9999
#3
119.21.4
97.6→99.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed