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Red84
2054169.5
5260126.5
3875143.9
Blue451
5162114.2
3536188.0
9999119.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363276010020040050060070084451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#13Sur
169.52.0
191.0189.0
Auto21.3
Teleop122.5
End21.1
blue by 18.5
3536
#4Sur
188.00.3
182.4182.1
Auto23.0
Teleop137.5
End26.8
Second
3875
#18
143.90.4
153.1152.7
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
red by 24.7
9999
#3Sur
119.21.4
101.0102.4
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
Third
5260
#10Sur
126.51.8
139.2137.4
Auto14.1
Teleop96.5
End14.5
red by 12.3
5162
#16
114.20.8
116.3115.5
Auto17.2
Teleop85.3
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed