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Red293
6829145.8
3581141.3
5074108.4
Blue378
4941146.6
1648149.4
5848109.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305299200250350400450293378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.81.0
143.9144.9
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
blue by 3.6
149.40.7
147.9148.6
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
Second
141.30.8
139.7140.5
Auto14.2
Teleop102.7
End27.6
blue by 5.3
146.60.4
145.8146.2
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
Third
5074
#20
108.40.2
108.1108.2
Auto14.8
Teleop87.3
End7.2
blue by 0.8
5848
#19
109.30.5
110.1109.6
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9