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Red283
5840105.4
6919135.5
3635109.8
Blue226
4193101.2
5848109.3
4941146.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062370100200400500283226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.52.3
114.2116.5
Auto21.1
Teleop103.0
End12.2
blue by 11.1
146.614.3
90.0104.3
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
Second
3635
#21
109.814.2
91.2105.3
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9
red by 0.5
5848
#19
109.317.5
60.978.4
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
Third
5840
#15
105.418.1
56.174.2
Auto12.3
Teleop84.6
End9.5
red by 4.2
4193
#10
101.20.5
97.497.9
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed