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Red325
6341138.6
7315104.4
5848109.3
Blue124
4730108.0
4193101.2
4240101.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303249100200400500325124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6341
#11
138.61.1
133.1134.2
Auto14.3
Teleop107.0
End16.8
red by 30.6
4730
#24
108.09.1
89.798.7
Auto13.1
Teleop81.2
End12.3
Second
5848
#19
109.36.9
91.998.8
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
red by 7.8
4240
#25
101.47.4
89.897.1
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5
Third
7315
#18
104.47.7
88.996.6
Auto14.1
Teleop81.4
End5.9
red by 3.2
4193
#10
101.20.8
98.999.8
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed