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Red122
7315104.4
4730108.0
5632106.3
Blue277
1683129.6
4026144.3
4941146.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233150100400500122277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4730
#24
108.04.9
98.7103.7
Auto13.1
Teleop81.2
End12.3
blue by 38.6
146.66.5
123.3129.8
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
Second
106.30.0
102.8102.8
Auto15.3
Teleop78.6
End12.2
blue by 38.0
144.31.9
114.4116.3
Auto17.0
Teleop115.2
End12.9
Third
7315
#18
104.46.5
96.6103.1
Auto14.1
Teleop81.4
End5.9
blue by 25.3
129.60.5
117.3117.8
Auto16.6
Teleop103.1
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed