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Red127
6471138.8
470198.6
4240101.4
Blue173
3635109.8
6340142.5
4193101.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278263100200300400500127173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6471
#13
138.80.9
127.8128.8
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
blue by 3.8
142.51.1
128.7129.8
Auto18.6
Teleop109.3
End15.2
Second
4240
#25
101.43.9
97.1101.1
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5
blue by 8.3
3635
#21
109.84.7
114.6119.3
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9
Third
4701
#23
98.62.0
102.4104.4
Auto13.0
Teleop77.1
End7.0
blue by 2.6
4193
#10
101.20.4
99.8100.1
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed