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Red56
3329107.1
1261120.3
5074108.4
Blue318
4026144.3
3635109.8
5632106.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26723710015020030035040045056318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#14
120.31.2
125.3126.5
Auto15.9
Teleop91.7
End10.2
blue by 24.0
144.33.9
117.1120.9
Auto17.0
Teleop115.2
End12.9
Second
5074
#20
108.41.6
111.3113.0
Auto14.8
Teleop87.3
End7.2
blue by 1.3
3635
#21
109.81.3
120.9119.7
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9
Third
3329
#16
107.11.0
110.7111.7
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End6.8
red by 0.8
106.30.7
102.6103.3
Auto15.3
Teleop78.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed