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Red418
6829145.8
4193101.2
1648149.4
Blue115
6177134.4
4468134.3
1261120.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240337100200300400500600418115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.6
132.7133.3
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
red by 15.0
6177
#17
134.40.8
139.0138.2
Auto21.7
Teleop98.3
End15.7
Second
145.82.0
122.7124.7
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
red by 11.5
4468
#12
134.32.9
135.2138.1
Auto16.7
Teleop101.5
End17.1
Third
4193
#10
101.20.5
98.598.0
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
blue by 19.1
1261
#14
120.32.7
126.5123.8
Auto15.9
Teleop91.7
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed