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Red318
1648149.4
5632106.3
5840105.4
Blue192
3635109.8
6341138.6
6471138.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255299100200400500318192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.42.2
138.8141.0
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
red by 10.7
6471
#13
138.81.8
134.5136.3
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
Second
106.30.5
104.6105.1
Auto15.3
Teleop78.6
End12.2
blue by 32.3
6341
#11
138.61.0
137.1138.2
Auto14.3
Teleop107.0
End16.8
Third
5840
#15
105.40.6
103.0103.6
Auto12.3
Teleop84.6
End9.5
blue by 4.3
3635
#21
109.80.7
113.2112.5
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed