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Red249
1648149.4
470198.6
4193101.2
Blue189
1683129.6
3329107.1
5074108.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260255150200300350249189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.42.4
141.0143.5
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
red by 19.8
129.61.7
125.1126.8
Auto16.6
Teleop103.1
End10.9
Second
4193
#10
101.20.9
99.1100.0
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
blue by 7.2
5074
#20
108.40.9
109.8108.9
Auto14.8
Teleop87.3
End7.2
Third
4701
#23
98.61.9
101.899.9
Auto13.0
Teleop77.1
End7.0
blue by 8.4
3329
#16DQ
107.10.6
108.2107.6
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed