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Red220
6919135.5
4240101.4
1683129.6
Blue362
6829145.8
6471138.8
3329107.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263302100200400500220362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.51.1
132.8133.9
Auto21.1
Teleop103.0
End12.2
blue by 10.3
145.83.0
135.6138.6
Auto15.7
Teleop113.1
End18.9
Second
129.61.1
126.8127.9
Auto16.6
Teleop103.1
End10.9
blue by 9.1
6471
#13
138.80.9
136.3137.2
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
Third
4240
#25
101.41.4
103.5102.1
Auto11.7
Teleop82.3
End5.5
blue by 5.6
3329
#16
107.10.8
107.6106.8
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed