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Red235
6471138.8
4193101.2
4941146.6
Blue302
3581141.3
5074108.4
7315104.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278280200250300350235302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.611.3
104.3115.6
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
red by 5.3
141.30.3
123.2123.4
Auto14.2
Teleop102.7
End27.6
Second
6471
#13
138.80.6
126.6127.3
Auto16.6
Teleop108.9
End15.6
red by 30.3
5074
#20
108.47.8
99.1107.0
Auto14.8
Teleop87.3
End7.2
Third
4193
#10
101.21.0
97.998.9
Auto15.3
Teleop77.9
End7.9
blue by 3.2
7315
#18
104.411.2
77.788.9
Auto14.1
Teleop81.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed