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Red399
4941146.6
1648149.4
5848109.3
Blue300
1683129.6
4026144.3
3635109.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292269100200400500399300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.6
146.6147.3
Auto15.5
Teleop120.5
End15.2
red by 5.1
144.30.7
142.9143.6
Auto17.0
Teleop115.2
End12.9
Second
146.60.2
145.2145.5
Auto19.6
Teleop113.6
End13.5
red by 17.0
129.60.5
128.7129.1
Auto16.6
Teleop103.1
End10.9
Third
5848
#19
109.30.7
111.4110.7
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End3.9
blue by 0.5
3635
#21
109.80.0
109.8109.7
Auto16.3
Teleop86.5
End7.9