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Red216
2415143.0
3581139.6
6887101.8
Blue359
1414178.2
5332115.9
6471148.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302307150200250350400450500216359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#23
143.00.3
143.9143.6
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
blue by 35.3
178.20.7
159.5160.2
Auto25.2
Teleop130.8
End21.5
Second
3581
#34
139.62.1
141.3143.4
Auto16.4
Teleop101.4
End23.2
blue by 9.0
6471
#16
148.61.8
138.8140.6
Auto18.4
Teleop111.3
End23.7
Third
6887
#37
101.80.6
104.4104.9
Auto16.5
Teleop80.3
End5.3
blue by 14.1
5332
#19
115.90.1
113.7113.7
Auto17.4
Teleop89.7
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed