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Red272
1261131.0
6340142.8
4941163.6
Blue248
3581139.6
671598.3
1002139.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343279100200400500272248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4941
#24
163.60.3
167.1166.7
Auto18.0
Teleop129.5
End14.8
red by 24.0
3581
#34
139.60.4
142.4142.0
Auto16.4
Teleop101.4
End23.2
Second
6340
#32
142.80.4
140.9141.3
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
red by 3.2
1002
#22
139.60.3
137.4137.1
Auto17.1
Teleop109.3
End14.0
Third
1261
#17
131.00.5
133.2132.7
Auto19.0
Teleop97.7
End13.8
red by 32.6
6715
#44
98.30.3
96.897.1
Auto15.6
Teleop70.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed