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Red212
3329112.3
4240127.3
1311155.7
Blue398
4189159.8
4112135.2
4468149.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903340100200400500600700212398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#14
155.70.1
146.1146.2
Auto16.6
Teleop119.6
End20.8
blue by 4.1
159.81.4
151.2152.5
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5
Second
4240
#38
127.31.4
122.2123.6
Auto16.0
Teleop93.6
End19.8
blue by 21.7
4468
#30
149.00.2
143.0143.3
Auto16.0
Teleop115.9
End16.1
Third
3329
#35
112.31.5
113.0114.5
Auto15.1
Teleop90.0
End7.3
blue by 22.9
4112
#31
135.20.7
139.0138.4
Auto18.1
Teleop92.8
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed