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Red251
6341138.4
3635140.0
5109126.0
Blue334
6177144.2
4026154.8
2974170.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290364200400500600251334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#20
140.01.4
135.7137.1
Auto18.4
Teleop112.7
End10.6
blue by 30.5
2974
#18
170.50.5
167.5168.0
Auto27.8
Teleop129.6
End13.2
Second
6341
#40
138.40.5
141.0141.5
Auto15.5
Teleop107.3
End13.6
blue by 16.5
154.80.5
156.9156.5
Auto20.5
Teleop124.9
End8.0
Third
5109
#27
126.01.3
121.5122.9
Auto17.1
Teleop97.4
End11.2
blue by 18.2
144.22.4
133.9136.3
Auto25.2
Teleop101.5
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed