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Red199
671598.3
6471148.6
3815116.9
Blue390
6925108.9
1771105.5
1102200.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237316100200400500600199390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6471
#16
148.60.5
145.8146.4
Auto18.4
Teleop111.3
End23.7
blue by 51.9
200.62.7
182.3185.0
Auto19.6
Teleop152.0
End29.6
Second
3815
#43
116.90.3
117.8117.5
Auto14.4
Teleop97.0
End6.1
red by 8.0
6925
#42
108.90.4
107.3107.7
Auto16.3
Teleop82.3
End9.2
Third
6715
#44
98.30.0
97.197.1
Auto15.6
Teleop70.6
End13.9
blue by 7.2
1771
#26
105.51.0
93.294.2
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed