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Red411
6340142.8
1102200.6
6829163.2
Blue248
1683141.7
6341138.4
6705190.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832960100200500600700411248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
200.62.1
169.8171.9
Auto19.6
Teleop152.0
End29.6
red by 9.9
190.71.7
190.4188.7
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
Second
6829
#21
163.20.3
172.0171.7
Auto23.0
Teleop125.5
End13.2
red by 21.5
1683
#15
141.71.6
129.6131.3
Auto18.4
Teleop112.0
End11.4
Third
6340
#32
142.80.4
141.3140.9
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
red by 4.4
6341
#40
138.40.1
138.6138.5
Auto15.5
Teleop107.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed